捕获恐怖主义群体中运营相似性的动态至关重要,为反恐和智力监测提供可操作的见解。然而,尽管其理论和实用相关性,目前缺乏研究解决这个问题。我们解决这个问题,提出了一种用于检测分享类似行为的恐怖组群集群的新的计算框架,专注于集团的年曲目的部署策略,攻击目标和利用武器。特别考虑到从1997年到2018年签署至少50次攻击的那些组织,总共占全球42,000多个活动的105组,我们提供三套结果。首先,我们表明,多年来,全球恐怖主义的特点是越来越多的运营凝聚力。其次,我们强调,在2009年至2018年,群体之间共聚类的年度达到稳定性,表明过去十年中相似模式的时间一致性。第三,我们证明,两个组织之间的操作相似性由三个因素驱动:(a)其整体活动; (b)业务曲目的多样性差异; (c)多样性和活动的综合衡量标准的差异。团体的运营偏好,地理性交和思想亲和力在确定操作相似性方面没有一致的作用。
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监督的学习任务,例如GigaiPixel全幻灯片图像(WSIS)等癌症存活预测是计算病理学中的关键挑战,需要对肿瘤微环境的复杂特征进行建模。这些学习任务通常通过不明确捕获肿瘤内异质性的深层多企业学习(MIL)模型来解决。我们开发了一种新颖的差异池体系结构,使MIL模型能够将肿瘤内异质性纳入其预测中。说明了基于代表性补丁的两个可解释性工具,以探测这些模型捕获的生物学信号。一项针对癌症基因组图集的4,479吉普像素WSI的实证研究表明,在MIL框架上增加方差汇总可改善五种癌症类型的生存预测性能。
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使用3D神经字段的几何形状,颜色和语义的关节表示使得能够使用手持式RGB-D传感器实时地重建场景的超稀疏交互来精确密集标记。我们的ILABEL系统不需要培训数据,但可以比在大型培训的图像数据集上培训的标准方法更准确地标记场景。此外,它以“开放式”方式工作,使用用户在飞行中定义语义类。 Ilabel的潜在模型是一款从头开始培训的多层的感知者(MLP),以实时地学习联合神经场景表示。场景模型是实时更新和可视化的,允许用户对焦相互作用以实现高效标记。可以将房间或类似的场景精确标记为10+语义类别,只需几十点击即可。定量标签精度使用点击次数强烈缩放,并迅速超越标准的预培训语义分段方法。我们还展示了一个分层标签变体。
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An increasingly important data analytic challenge is understanding the relationships between subpopulations. Various visualization methods that provide many useful insights into those relationships are popular, especially in bioinformatics. This paper proposes a novel and rigorous approach to quantifying subpopulation relationships called the Population Difference Criterion (PDC). PDC is simultaneously a quantitative and visual approach to showing separation of subpopulations. It uses subpopulation centers, the respective variation about those centers and the relative subpopulation sizes. This is accomplished by drawing motivation for the PDC from classical permutation based hypothesis testing, while taking that type of idea into non-standard conceptual territory. In particular, the domain of very small P values is seen to seem to provide useful comparisons of data sets. Simulated permutation variation is carefully investigated, and we found that a balanced permutation approach is more informative in high signal (i.e large subpopulation difference) contexts, than conventional approaches based on all permutations. This result is quite surprising in view of related work done in low signal contexts, which came to the opposite conclusion. This issue is resolved by the proposal of an appropriate adjustment. Permutation variation is also quantified by a proposed bootstrap confidence interval, and demonstrated to be useful in understanding subpopulation relationships with cancer data.
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关于比较治疗效果的最佳证据来自临床试验,其结果在非结构化的文章中据报道。医疗专家必须手动提取文章中的信息以告知决策,这是耗时和昂贵的。在这里,我们考虑(a)从描述临床试验(实体识别)的全文物品中提取治疗和结果的端到端任务,(b)推断前者的报告结果(关系萃取)。我们为此任务介绍了新数据,并评估最近在自然语言处理中获得类似任务的最先进结果的模型。然后,我们提出了一种新的方法,激励了通常介绍了如何呈现这些纯粹数据驱动的基线的试验结果。最后,我们对该模型进行了一定的评估,并具有非营利性寻求鉴定可能重新用癌症的现有药物,显示出端到端证据提取系统的潜在效用。
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We demonstrate a proof-of-concept of a large language model conducting corporate lobbying related activities. We use an autoregressive large language model (OpenAI's text-davinci-003) to determine if proposed U.S. Congressional bills are relevant to specific public companies and provide explanations and confidence levels. For the bills the model deems as relevant, the model drafts a letter to the sponsor of the bill in an attempt to persuade the congressperson to make changes to the proposed legislation. We use hundreds of ground-truth labels of the relevance of a bill to a company to benchmark the performance of the model, which outperforms the baseline of predicting the most common outcome of irrelevance. However, we test the ability to determine the relevance of a bill with the previous OpenAI GPT-3 model (text-davinci-002), which was state-of-the-art on many language tasks until text-davinci-003 was released on November 28, 2022. The performance of text-davinci-002 is worse than simply always predicting that a bill is irrelevant to a company. These results suggest that, as large language models continue to improve core natural language understanding capabilities, performance on corporate lobbying related tasks will continue to improve. We then discuss why this could be problematic for societal-AI alignment.
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In the past years, deep learning has seen an increase of usage in the domain of histopathological applications. However, while these approaches have shown great potential, in high-risk environments deep learning models need to be able to judge their own uncertainty and be able to reject inputs when there is a significant chance of misclassification. In this work, we conduct a rigorous evaluation of the most commonly used uncertainty and robustness methods for the classification of Whole-Slide-Images under domain shift using the H\&E stained Camelyon17 breast cancer dataset. Although it is known that histopathological data can be subject to strong domain shift and label noise, to our knowledge this is the first work that compares the most common methods for uncertainty estimation under these aspects. In our experiments, we compare Stochastic Variational Inference, Monte-Carlo Dropout, Deep Ensembles, Test-Time Data Augmentation as well as combinations thereof. We observe that ensembles of methods generally lead to higher accuracies and better calibration and that Test-Time Data Augmentation can be a promising alternative when choosing an appropriate set of augmentations. Across methods, a rejection of the most uncertain tiles leads to a significant increase in classification accuracy on both in-distribution as well as out-of-distribution data. Furthermore, we conduct experiments comparing these methods under varying conditions of label noise. We observe that the border regions of the Camelyon17 dataset are subject to label noise and evaluate the robustness of the included methods against different noise levels. Lastly, we publish our code framework to facilitate further research on uncertainty estimation on histopathological data.
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In large-scale machine learning, recent works have studied the effects of compressing gradients in stochastic optimization in order to alleviate the communication bottleneck. These works have collectively revealed that stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is robust to structured perturbations such as quantization, sparsification, and delays. Perhaps surprisingly, despite the surge of interest in large-scale, multi-agent reinforcement learning, almost nothing is known about the analogous question: Are common reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms also robust to similar perturbations? In this paper, we investigate this question by studying a variant of the classical temporal difference (TD) learning algorithm with a perturbed update direction, where a general compression operator is used to model the perturbation. Our main technical contribution is to show that compressed TD algorithms, coupled with an error-feedback mechanism used widely in optimization, exhibit the same non-asymptotic theoretical guarantees as their SGD counterparts. We then extend our results significantly to nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms and multi-agent settings. In particular, we prove that for multi-agent TD learning, one can achieve linear convergence speedups in the number of agents while communicating just $\tilde{O}(1)$ bits per agent at each time step. Our work is the first to provide finite-time results in RL that account for general compression operators and error-feedback in tandem with linear function approximation and Markovian sampling. Our analysis hinges on studying the drift of a novel Lyapunov function that captures the dynamics of a memory variable introduced by error feedback.
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While the capabilities of autonomous systems have been steadily improving in recent years, these systems still struggle to rapidly explore previously unknown environments without the aid of GPS-assisted navigation. The DARPA Subterranean (SubT) Challenge aimed to fast track the development of autonomous exploration systems by evaluating their performance in real-world underground search-and-rescue scenarios. Subterranean environments present a plethora of challenges for robotic systems, such as limited communications, complex topology, visually-degraded sensing, and harsh terrain. The presented solution enables long-term autonomy with minimal human supervision by combining a powerful and independent single-agent autonomy stack, with higher level mission management operating over a flexible mesh network. The autonomy suite deployed on quadruped and wheeled robots was fully independent, freeing the human supervision to loosely supervise the mission and make high-impact strategic decisions. We also discuss lessons learned from fielding our system at the SubT Final Event, relating to vehicle versatility, system adaptability, and re-configurable communications.
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Research on automated essay scoring has become increasing important because it serves as a method for evaluating students' written-responses at scale. Scalable methods for scoring written responses are needed as students migrate to online learning environments resulting in the need to evaluate large numbers of written-response assessments. The purpose of this study is to describe and evaluate three active learning methods than can be used to minimize the number of essays that must be scored by human raters while still providing the data needed to train a modern automated essay scoring system. The three active learning methods are the uncertainty-based, the topological-based, and the hybrid method. These three methods were used to select essays included as part of the Automated Student Assessment Prize competition that were then classified using a scoring model that was training with the bidirectional encoder representations from transformer language model. All three active learning methods produced strong results, with the topological-based method producing the most efficient classification. Growth rate accuracy was also evaluated. The active learning methods produced different levels of efficiency under different sample size allocations but, overall, all three methods were highly efficient and produced classifications that were similar to one another.
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